2 The Bitcoin current cycle has captured the attention of analysts and investors alike. Despite a market cap north of $1.3 trillion, BTC has surged over 650% since its 2022 bottom — echoing patterns from earlier bull runs. But can Bitcoin continue this momentum in 2025? Understanding how this cycle compares to the past could give you valuable insight into where we’re headed next. Source: Bitcoin Bharat Let’s explore what’s driving this trend, why it matters, and how you can make informed moves in the evolving crypto market.What Is the Bitcoin Current Cycle?The Bitcoin price cycle typically follows a four-year rhythm, heavily influenced by the Bitcoin halving — an event that reduces the block reward for miners and slows BTC issuance.Historically, these halving events trigger reduced supply, increased scarcity, and ultimately, a bull run. Here’s how the past cycles compare:2015–2018 Cycle: +1076%2018–2022 Cycle: +1007%2022–Present (June 2025): +656%Even though the current cycle trails slightly behind in raw percentage, it’s arguably the most impressive considering Bitcoin’s massive BTC market cap today compared to prior cycles.Why the Bitcoin Current Cycle Matters in 2025In 2025, Bitcoin is no longer a speculative experiment. It’s a globally recognized digital asset, increasingly integrated into traditional finance and sovereign strategies.Here’s why this matters:Institutional Demand Has Redefined the Playing FieldWith multiple Bitcoin ETFs approved in early 2024, the market witnessed a flood of capital from asset managers like BlackRock and Fidelity. Together, these ETFs now hold a significant portion of Bitcoin’s supply — fueling long-term demand and price stability.Halving Effects Are Still in MotionThe Bitcoin halving 2024 triggered another cycle of post-halving gains. BTC broke past $73,000 shortly after the event and now floats above $65,000 — similar to past post-halving growth.Macro Trends Are Fueling the FireRising inflation, weakening fiat currencies, and concerns around centralized CBDCs have pushed both retail and institutional investors toward BTC as a store of value.Top Insights from This CycleBitcoin’s DNA Remains IntactDespite higher stakes, the Bitcoin current cycle is playing out with familiar milestones:Mid-cycle dips: 20–40% corrections, just like in 2017 and 2021Accumulation phases: Dormant wallet activity is up — a bullish on-chain indicatorParabolic setups: Timing suggests another run could peak between Q4 2025 and Q2 2026ETF and Institutional FlowOver 12% of BTC supply is now held by institutional investorsCorporate treasuries in Asia-Pacific have added BTC in Q1 2025ETFs bring daily inflows, reducing sell-side pressureBTC Market Cap Is No BarrierSome feared Bitcoin’s growing market cap would cap future gains. But that hasn’t stopped a +656% rise — showing that network strength and adoption matter more than price alone.What to Watch NextWant to stay ahead of the market? Keep an eye on these upcoming events:Q3–Q4 2025 ETF Inflows: Continued institutional buying could fuel new all-time highsFederal Reserve and ECB Policy Shifts: Rate cuts may increase appetite for risk assetsRetail Interest Resurgence: If media buzz and FOMO return, another parabolic move is likelyBitcoin’s Rhythm Remains StrongBitcoin’s current cycle proves that age and size haven’t dulled its potential. Despite a larger base and new players in the game, BTC continues to follow its four-year rhythm with precision.A +656% gain is nothing to overlook — especially in a trillion-dollar market. And if history is any guide, the next 6–12 months may hold even more upside.FAQs):1. Is Bitcoin’s current cycle still following the 4-year pattern?Yes, Bitcoin’s 2022–2025 cycle is closely mimicking previous cycles, particularly in price growth and post-halving momentum.2. How much has Bitcoin grown in the current cycle?Bitcoin has increased by approximately 656% since the 2022 bottom, despite its much larger market cap.3. What role do Bitcoin ETFs play in this cycle?Bitcoin Spot ETFs have attracted billions in institutional inflows, contributing to liquidity, stability, and long-term upward pressure.4. When is Bitcoin expected to peak in this cycle?If it follows historical patterns, the cycle could peak between Q4 2025 and Q2 2026 — 12–18 months after the April 2024 halving.5. Can Bitcoin still deliver strong returns at this stage?While gains may be more compressed than earlier cycles, analysts believe a 50–100% increase from current levels is still possible.
